Evidence over hype

Public track record

Every published World Cup pick is timestamped before kickoff and graded after full-time. This page shows platform hit rates by tier and a scrollable ledger of hits and misses — not a highlight reel.

Tier hit rates

Safe, Value, and Risky tiers reflect prediction confidence thresholds. Past hit rate does not guarantee future results.

All graded World Cup picks

54.6%

83 hits · 69 misses · 152 graded

Safe (≥75%)

49.4%

40 hits · 41 misses · 81 graded

Value (≥60%)

53.8%

21 hits · 18 misses · 39 graded

Risky (≥50%)

68.8%

22 hits · 10 misses · 32 graded

Graded pick ledger

Published before kickoff · graded after full-time. Wins and misses stay on the record.

FrancevsEngland

BTTS · no

safe

80.22%

4–6FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 18, 2026, 9:00 PM

Published Jul 18, 2026, 8:30 PM · before kickoff

FrancevsEngland

O/U 2.5 · under

safe

87.39%

4–6FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 18, 2026, 9:00 PM

Published Jul 18, 2026, 8:29 PM · before kickoff

EnglandvsArgentina

BTTS · no

safe

89.40%

1–2FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 15, 2026, 7:00 PM

Published Jul 14, 2026, 1:30 AM · before kickoff

EnglandvsArgentina

O/U 2.5 · under

safe

94.53%

1–2FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 15, 2026, 7:00 PM

Published Jul 14, 2026, 1:30 AM · before kickoff

FrancevsSpain

BTTS · no

safe

88.04%

0–2FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 14, 2026, 7:00 PM

Published Jul 13, 2026, 1:38 PM · before kickoff

FrancevsSpain

O/U 2.5 · under

safe

94.43%

0–2FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 14, 2026, 7:00 PM

Published Jul 13, 2026, 1:37 PM · before kickoff

SpainvsBelgium

1X2 · HOME

risky

51.73%

2–1FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 10, 2026, 7:00 PM

Published Jul 8, 2026, 6:00 AM · before kickoff

SpainvsBelgium

BTTS · no

safe

93.38%

2–1FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 10, 2026, 7:00 PM

Published Jul 10, 2026, 9:30 AM · before kickoff

SpainvsBelgium

O/U 2.5 · under

safe

90.98%

2–1FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 10, 2026, 7:00 PM

Published Jul 10, 2026, 9:29 AM · before kickoff

FrancevsMorocco

1X2 · DRAW

value

65.48%

2–0FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 9, 2026, 8:00 PM

Published Jul 9, 2026, 2:29 PM · before kickoff

FrancevsMorocco

BTTS · no

safe

95.00%

2–0FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 9, 2026, 8:00 PM

Published Jul 9, 2026, 2:30 PM · before kickoff

FrancevsMorocco

O/U 2.5 · under

safe

95.00%

2–0FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 9, 2026, 8:00 PM

Published Jul 9, 2026, 2:30 PM · before kickoff

ArgentinavsEgypt

1X2 · HOME

risky

50.40%

3–2FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 7, 2026, 4:00 PM

Published Jul 4, 2026, 7:30 PM · before kickoff

ArgentinavsEgypt

BTTS · no

value

74.11%

3–2FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 7, 2026, 4:00 PM

Published Jul 7, 2026, 2:30 PM · before kickoff

ArgentinavsEgypt

O/U 2.5 · under

safe

81.83%

3–2FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 7, 2026, 4:00 PM

Published Jul 7, 2026, 2:29 PM · before kickoff

USAvsBelgium

1X2 · AWAY

risky

58.87%

1–4FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 7, 2026, 12:00 AM

Published Jul 6, 2026, 8:29 PM · before kickoff

USAvsBelgium

BTTS · no

safe

75.40%

1–4FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 7, 2026, 12:00 AM

Published Jul 6, 2026, 8:30 PM · before kickoff

USAvsBelgium

O/U 2.5 · over

value

64.84%

1–4FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 7, 2026, 12:00 AM

Published Jul 4, 2026, 6:01 AM · before kickoff

PortugalvsSpain

1X2 · DRAW

risky

54.35%

0–1FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 6, 2026, 7:00 PM

Published Jul 6, 2026, 2:30 PM · before kickoff

PortugalvsSpain

BTTS · no

safe

95.00%

0–1FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 6, 2026, 7:00 PM

Published Jul 6, 2026, 2:30 PM · before kickoff

PortugalvsSpain

O/U 2.5 · under

safe

95.00%

0–1FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 6, 2026, 7:00 PM

Published Jul 6, 2026, 2:30 PM · before kickoff

MexicovsEngland

1X2 · DRAW

value

69.91%

2–3FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 6, 2026, 1:00 AM

Published Jul 5, 2026, 2:30 PM · before kickoff

MexicovsEngland

BTTS · no

safe

95.00%

2–3FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 6, 2026, 1:00 AM

Published Jul 5, 2026, 2:30 PM · before kickoff

MexicovsEngland

O/U 2.5 · under

safe

95.00%

2–3FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 6, 2026, 1:00 AM

Published Jul 5, 2026, 2:30 PM · before kickoff

BrazilvsNorway

1X2 · HOME

risky

53.86%

1–2FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 5, 2026, 8:00 PM

Published Jul 5, 2026, 8:29 AM · before kickoff

BrazilvsNorway

BTTS · no

value

73.99%

1–2FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 5, 2026, 8:00 PM

Published Jul 5, 2026, 2:29 PM · before kickoff

BrazilvsNorway

O/U 2.5 · under

value

69.67%

1–2FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 5, 2026, 8:00 PM

Published Jul 5, 2026, 2:29 PM · before kickoff

ParaguayvsFrance

1X2 · AWAY

risky

56.87%

0–1FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 4, 2026, 9:00 PM

Published Jul 4, 2026, 2:30 PM · before kickoff

ParaguayvsFrance

BTTS · no

safe

79.39%

0–1FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 4, 2026, 9:00 PM

Published Jul 4, 2026, 2:30 PM · before kickoff

ParaguayvsFrance

O/U 2.5 · under

safe

78.62%

0–1FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 4, 2026, 9:00 PM

Published Jul 4, 2026, 2:30 PM · before kickoff

CanadavsMorocco

BTTS · no

safe

77.51%

0–3FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 4, 2026, 5:00 PM

Published Jul 4, 2026, 2:29 PM · before kickoff

CanadavsMorocco

O/U 2.5 · under

safe

84.84%

0–3FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 4, 2026, 5:00 PM

Published Jul 4, 2026, 2:29 PM · before kickoff

ColombiavsGhana

1X2 · HOME

safe

82.23%

1–0FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 4, 2026, 1:30 AM

Published Jul 3, 2026, 2:30 PM · before kickoff

ColombiavsGhana

BTTS · no

safe

95.00%

1–0FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 4, 2026, 1:30 AM

Published Jul 3, 2026, 2:30 PM · before kickoff

ColombiavsGhana

O/U 2.5 · over

value

66.94%

1–0FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 4, 2026, 1:30 AM

Published Jul 3, 2026, 2:30 PM · before kickoff

SwitzerlandvsAlgeria

BTTS · no

risky

54.99%

2–0FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 3, 2026, 3:00 AM

Published Jul 3, 2026, 2:30 AM · before kickoff

SwitzerlandvsAlgeria

O/U 2.5 · under

value

61.09%

2–0FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 3, 2026, 3:00 AM

Published Jul 3, 2026, 2:30 AM · before kickoff

PortugalvsCroatia

1X2 · HOME

safe

78.09%

2–1FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 2, 2026, 11:00 PM

Published Jul 2, 2026, 1:30 PM · before kickoff

PortugalvsCroatia

BTTS · no

safe

91.09%

2–1FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 2, 2026, 11:00 PM

Published Jul 2, 2026, 1:30 PM · before kickoff

PortugalvsCroatia

O/U 2.5 · over

risky

55.85%

2–1FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 2, 2026, 11:00 PM

Published Jul 2, 2026, 1:30 PM · before kickoff

SpainvsAustria

1X2 · HOME

value

61.17%

3–0FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 2, 2026, 7:00 PM

Published Jul 2, 2026, 1:31 PM · before kickoff

SpainvsAustria

BTTS · no

safe

95.00%

3–0FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 2, 2026, 7:00 PM

Published Jul 2, 2026, 1:31 PM · before kickoff

SpainvsAustria

O/U 2.5 · under

safe

86.83%

3–0FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 2, 2026, 7:00 PM

Published Jul 2, 2026, 1:31 PM · before kickoff

USAvsBosnia & Herzegovina

BTTS · no

value

69.67%

2–0FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 2, 2026, 12:00 AM

Published Jul 1, 2026, 8:30 PM · before kickoff

USAvsBosnia & Herzegovina

O/U 2.5 · under

value

67.73%

2–0FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 2, 2026, 12:00 AM

Published Jul 1, 2026, 8:29 PM · before kickoff

USAvsBosnia & Herzegovina

1X2 · HOME

risky

54.55%

2–0FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 2, 2026, 12:00 AM

Published Jul 1, 2026, 8:29 PM · before kickoff

EnglandvsCongo DR

BTTS · no

safe

85.87%

2–1FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 1, 2026, 4:00 PM

Published Jul 1, 2026, 2:30 PM · before kickoff

EnglandvsCongo DR

O/U 2.5 · under

safe

85.46%

2–1FT

Graded incorrect

Kickoff Jul 1, 2026, 4:00 PM

Published Jul 1, 2026, 2:30 PM · before kickoff

MexicovsEcuador

1X2 · HOME

risky

50.42%

2–0FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 1, 2026, 1:00 AM

Published Jun 30, 2026, 2:32 PM · before kickoff

MexicovsEcuador

BTTS · no

safe

95.00%

2–0FT

Graded correct

Kickoff Jul 1, 2026, 1:00 AM

Published Jun 30, 2026, 2:32 PM · before kickoff

Public track record

Tier hit rates

Graded pick ledger

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