Glossary
Plain-language definitions for prediction confidence, xG proxy, market terms, and grading — the vocabulary behind Bet Bet Bam's statistical match analysis.
xG (expected goals)
A shot-based expected-goals proxy from rolling goals and shots data — informs goal-rate algorithms, not a standalone pick.
1X2 (match result)
Home win, draw, or away win — the core match-result market with coherent Poisson-derived probabilities.
BTTS (both teams to score)
Whether both teams score at least one goal — a yes/no market derived from attack and defence rates.
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Whether the match finishes with more or fewer than 2.5 total goals — the standard totals line in Phase 1.
H2H (head-to-head)
Recent meetings between the two teams — a context signal for goal trends and matchup familiarity.
Safe · Value · Risky tiers
Confidence bands that group picks by signal strength — not bookmaker odds or “value bets.”
Featured picks
Paid home-tab filter for picks with 95%+ prediction confidence in the next 48 hours — strongest signal alignment, not a separate tier.
Prediction confidence
How strongly statistical signals align on a published market — not a win guarantee or bookmaker probability.
Hit rate
The share of graded published picks that landed correctly after full-time — transparent performance, not cherry-picked highlights.
Clean sheet
A team concedes zero goals in a finished match — a defensive outcome that shapes BTTS and totals markets.
Most likely scoreline
The modal Poisson scoreline — the single home–away result the goal algorithm weights highest before kickoff.
Signal consensus
How closely form, injuries, standings, head-to-head, news, and goal-rate inputs agree on the same market lean.
Graded pick
A published pick with an official hit, miss, or push after full-time — the unit used for public hit-rate stats.